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1. Chinese Economy: Weathering the Storm
The second quarter of 2009 brought a strong rebound on world financial markets, giving hope to Asian exporters and encouraging them to prepare for a recovery in demand for their products. In fact, signs are emerging that these exporters are
31 Aug 2009
2. Challenges Facing Hong Kong Financial Industry
Protected behind the thick walls of a closed capital account, China's financial system has been spared the direct force of the financial tsunami. Reminiscent of its experience during the Asian financial crisis, China has thus escaped a major financial catastrophe
7 May 2009
3. Hong Kong Economic Outlook 2009
The financial tsunami swamped the global economy in mid-September, resulting in a plunge in export orders that will lead to a very difficult first half of 2009 in Hong Kong. The economic path in the second half will largely depend on whether the US can
29 Dec 2008
4. The Threat of Global Economic Recession
The great US housing bubble has burst with an explosive force that few had foreseen, triggering an all-out financial crisis that has decimated markets around the globe. The pain has spread rapidly from the markets to the broader economy, and there is now a very real threat of global recession on
10 Nov 2008
5. Policy Challenges Facing China
The global economy is haunted by the return of stagflation - throughout the world, inflation is rising while growth is slowing. China has scored some early successes against inflation. However, the deteriorating external environment and the austerity measures introduced earlier have posed considerable
1 Aug 2008
6. Household debt crisis - a looming threat to the US economy
US economic activity slowed in late 2007 as the credit crisis spawned by the sub-prime mortgage debacle intensified. Banks cut back their lending to individuals and companies, causing the annualized rate of GDP growth to fall to a tepid 0.6% in the fourth quarter last year, significantly lower than the 4.9% recorded in the previous quarter. The worsening outlook has prompted the US government to take unprecedented measures to stimulate the ailing economy.
1 April 2008
7. 2008: Hong Kong in the Midst of US-China Decoupling
With broad-based growth in both the external and domestic sectors in 2007, Hong Kong's economy is expected to record its fourth consecutive year of above-trend growth, with the final GDP figure likely to come in at around 6%. Looking forward to 2008, two major events
1 Jan 2008
8. The Return of Negative Real Interest Rates
During the first eight months of 2007, the composite consumer price index (CPI) rose at a benign 1.5% average annual rate. Due to various Government measures, including the rates concession and the public housing rental reduction
1 Oct 2007
9. Ten Years Later - Same Buoyancy But Different Economy
Since the establishment of the Hong Kong SAR (HKSAR) in 1997, the city has seen considerable ups and downs. As we near the tenth anniversary of the sovereignty transfer, many in Hong Kong wonder if we are better off than we were 10 years ago. In fact, the Hong Kong economy has grown significantly over the past decade.
1 June 2007
10. The Changing Role of China's Interest Rate Policy
Economic data from the first two months of 2007 shows no slackening in China's growth. Despite continued monetary tightening measures, including an additional rise in the reserve ratio and further selling of treasury bills, outstanding bank loans grew by 17.2% in the first two months of this year.
1 April 2007
11. The Economic Outlook for Hong Kong in 2007
Hong Kong's economy has registered remarkable growth for three consecutive years. Trade and financial services have been the twin engines fueling the economic growth. Both sectors maintained strong double-digit growth for the entire period, increasing their combined share of the GDP
1 Jan 2007
12. RMB Revaluation is Not a Panacea for External Imbalances
The Renminbi (Rmb) exchange rate policy has become a focal point in the relationships between China and its major trading partners over the past few years. Since the government in Beijing unpegged its currency last July, the Rmb has strengthened by nearly 5% against the US dollar.
1 Oct 2006
13. Opportunities Emerged from Mainland Financial Reform
Reform of the Mainland financial system has progressed rapidly in recent years, with the main focus centered on building and strengthening the financial infrastructure. Foreign companies share an important role in this process by bringing
1 July 2006
14. Reform of Mainland's Financial System and Its Implications for Hong Kong
China is on course for success in the reform of its financial services industry. The balance sheets of mainland banks are improving, and the banks are now striving to raise their operating efficiency as well, through cooperation with foreign strategic partners...
1 April 2006
15. 2006: Stoking the Engines of Domestic Growth
The Hong Kong economy recorded another year of stellar growth in 2005. However, heading into 2006, a number of downside risks are appearing in the external sector. Higher interest rates in the U.S. will cool the American housing market...
1 Jan 2006
16. Private Consumption Needs to Catch Up
Although Hong Kong's economic recovery remains intact, the primary driver of growth at present still comes from the external sector, while growth in private consumption lags behind
1 Oct 2005
17. Reform of RMB Exchange Rate Regime and its Implications
After much speculation, and considerable political wrangling, the day of Renminbi (Rmb) exchange rate reform has finally arrived.
1 July 2005
18. Re-examining the Role of Land Policy
Hong Kong is a small and open economy. Conventional wisdom dictates that our economy is highly susceptible to external shocks, and rather less responsive to local policy tools. Furthermore, under the Pegged Exchange Rate System, Hong Kong has surrendered...
1 April 2005
19. 2005: Weathering External Storms
As a small and externally oriented economy, Hong Kong's course in 2005 will be largely determined by the external environment. Looking out to the horizon from early January, it appears as though we will be buffeted from two sides.
1 Jan 2005
20. Banking Reform in the Mainland
The Mainland's banking sector has made great progress since reform was initiated with a major capital injection into the banking sector in 1998. However, a great deal of work remains to be done before the authorities can declare victory.
1 Oct 2004
 
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