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Economic Forum






Bank of China (Hong Kong)

 
 
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1. The Possibility and Impacts of the Long-term Depreciation of the US Dollar
Since March this year, the US dollar has staged a new round of substantial depreciation, becoming once again the focal point of attention in the world economic and financial arena. The trend of the
31 Oct 2009
2. Hong Kong's Renminbi Sovereign Bond Market – Its Development Prospects and Impacts
The issuance of RMB sovereign bonds totalled 6 billion by the Chinese Ministry of Finance in Hong Kong involves both bond market and RMB businesses. This should help boost investor confidence amid the
30 Sept 2009
3. The Promising and Worrying Aspects of Hong Kong's Economic Recovery
In 2Q09, the Hong Kong economy recorded a year-over-year decline of -3.8% as opposed to the -7.8% in the previous quarter. On a quarterly basis, it even returned to positive growth of 3.3%, demonstrating the same patterns
31 Aug 2009
4. Assessing the Prospects and Impacts of Hong Kong's RMB Trade Settlement Business
After the release of the "Administrative Rules on the Pilot Scheme for Cross-border RMB Trade Settlement" , related businesses commenced in Hong Kong on July 6. Currently facing an economic downturn, Hong Kong welcomes much the launch of the new business
22 July 2009
5. Examine Hong Kong's Economic Recession and Transformation
In the first quarter of this year, Hong Kong's gross domestic product declined by 7.8% from a year ago, the second worst outcome on record since 3Q98's -8.1% plunge. Seasonally adjusted GDP contracted by 4.3% or annualized -18.0% from the previous quarter, which was worse than any quarters during the Asian Financial Crisis.
30 June 2009
6. The water that swallows the boat is the same that bears it - Examining the resurging global excess liquidity
On May 12, Hong Kong banking system's aggregate balance shot up by a record HKD20.7bn on continuous inflows forcing the Hong Kong Monetary Authority to buy US dollar and sell Hong Kong dollar. After settlement, the aggregate balance surged to a record high of HKD246.1bn.
29 May 2009
7. Be Aware Of Rising Protectionism Amid Crisis
At the height of the global economic and financial crisis that is showing no signs of receding, trade and financial protectionism rears its ugly head across the globe, threatening to plunge the world deeper into crisis.
28 Feb 2009
8. U.S. Economic Prospects under the Obama Administration
According to the assessment by the U.S. National Bureau for Economic Research, the U.S. economy has already been under recession since December 2007, taking into consideration various economic data including employment, income and production.
6 Jan 2009
9. The Most Serious Challenges Have Yet To Come
Hong Kong's economic growth slowed to only 1.7% from a year ago in the third quarter this year, the slowest pace since the SARS disease hit in 2003. But on a quarter-over-quarter basis, starting from the second quarter of this year, the local economy has already contracted by two consecutive quarters
30 Nov 2008
10. The Chinese Economy Amid Worsening Internal and External Environment
As the international financial crisis further intensifies and the global economic environment deteriorates, more signs of slowdown in the Chinese economy appear. In particular, China's third quarter GDP growth has decelerated further
31 Oct 2008
11. The Hong Kong Economy in the Shock of the Lehman Wave
Recently, upheavals of financial institutions like Lehman Brothers' filing for bankruptcy protection revealed that the subprime crisis is still running its course, creating additional pressure on the market. These made investors realise that the U.S. is undergoing a systemic economic and financial crisis.
30 Sept 2008
12. The Aftermath of Subprime and Credit Crisis - The World Economy Needs Profound Adjustments
The subprime and credit crisis has lasted for more than one year. Its impact on the world economy and financial markets are far more serious than originally expected. Initially, the market generally believed that the subprime market was only 1/8 of the US mortgage market.
1 Aug 2008
13. China's Economic Slowdown, Policy Challenge and Impacts on Hong Kong
According to the latest figures from China Customs, China's exports rose 17.6 percent over the previous year to USD 121.53 billion, tumbled from 28.1 percent in May. For the first half, value of exports increased 21.9 percent year-on-year to USD 666.6 billion
1 June 2008
14. The Vulnerabilities of Hong Kong in Case of Shocks in Asia
Recently, the foreign exchange market has delivered some worrisome signals. While the USD fell substantially against seven G-10 currencies by June 13, it rose against five major Asian currencies. Among the eighteen emerging market currencies
1 May 2008
15. Insights from the Subprime Fiasco
The word "subprime" may have been understood only by a few industry insiders two years ago. With the unfolding of the subprime market crisis, the term entered the popular lexicon. Commentators once portrayed subprime problems as a storm in a tea-cup, but now, the subprime fallout is blowing through every corner of global financial markets. Triggered by a prolonged housing slump, cascading mortgage defaults and ensuing credit crunch, the crisis has pushed the world’s largest economies
1 April 2008
16. The Economic Prospects and Banking Sector Operations
In January 2008, Hong Kong’s composite consumer price index (CCPI) rose 3.2% after factoring in the Government’s rates concession. Without it, the consumer inflation was already as high as 4.3%. Yet, Hong Kong still has to follow the US to cut interest rates further under the Currency Board System, which will result in deeper negative real interest rates.
1 March 2008
17. How U.S. Developments Affect the Chinese Economy
Amid a collapsing domestic property market and the intensifying subprime crisis, the risk of a U.S. economic recession is growing. As a highly export-dependent economy relying mainly on the U.S. market, China inevitably faces increased uncertainties. This article will examine how the economic slowdown in the U.S. will affect the Chinese economy as well as its macroeconomic policies.
1 Feb 2008
18. On the Dollar's Downtrend and the Dollar Crisis
The US dollar has weakened dramatically since 2007, with the Nominal Major Currencies Dollar Index dropped to 71.1053 in early November, marking a year-to-date decline of 12.7% or a year-on-year decline of 10%. Such drastic fall of the USD has aroused concerns among global investors.
1 Jan 2008
19. Severe Tests to Hong Kong Economy's Sustainable Growth
For the first three quarters of this year, the Hong Kong economy maintained an above trend real growth of 6.1%. As long as growth in the fourth quarter is no lower than 5.5%, the full year average can top 6.0%, culminating the best four-year average at 7.1% since the period from 1986
1 Dec 2007
20. Coupling between the Hong Kong and Mainland Stock Markets - New Trends and Problems
In recent months, the Hong Kong and Mainland stock markets tend to show similar developments. The influence of Mainland policies on Hong Kong stocks has also grown. Concerns about whether the Hong Kong market resembles an "A Share Market" or has become more policy-directed
1 Nov 2007
 
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