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Economic Forum




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Seminar on Economic and Market Outlook for 2008
10 January, 2008

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1. Global Market Intelligence
The dollar was trendless during the past fortnight as two different forces exerted their influences on the currency market. One was risk aversion flows and the other was yield appeal.
9 Nov 2009
2. Hong Kong Economy: Review and Preview
Stronger Third Quarter Setting for Growth Ahead
The government is set to release its third quarter GDP figures on November 13, but most of the recently-released data indicate that the Hong Kong economy has been improving.
9 Nov 2009
3. Mainland China to Maintain Steady Growth in 2010
Mainland China's real GDP growth accelerated further to 8.9% in the third quarter from 7.9% in the second and 6.1% in the first as strong government-led investment and consumption more than
5 Nov 2009
4. Mainland China to Remain a Major Force in the Global Commodity Market
Mainland China has been regarded as among the most significant factors behind the phenomenal surge of global commodity prices in the period 2003 to mid 2008. A major reason was that the country accounted
3 Nov 2009
5. The Six New Industries: A Roadmap for Hong Kong's Future?
In the 2009/10 Policy Address, the Chief Executive unveiled new incentives, including accommodative regulations, land policy, financial incentives and human resources, to nurture six new industries namely
28 Oct 2009
6. Global Market Intelligence
US dollar weakness persisted for most of the past fortnight, but the pace of decline has slowed. Some began to question whether the dollar sell off had gone too fast too far. The dollar has lost some 30% against the Australian dollar
27 Oct 2009
7. Hong Kong Economy: The Policy Dilemma
The latest indicators showed steadying of economic conditions - the decline in exports and retail sales abated, unemployment rate stopped climbing and deflation remained mild in August.
7 Oct 2009
8. Sino-US Trade Dispute Unlikely to Escalate into a Trade War
Mainland China's industrial output grew at a faster pace of 12.3% in August after rising 10.8% in July, pushing the economy one step closer to achieving the government's 8% growth target for 2009. With exports showing little
5 Oct 2009
9. Global Market Intelligence
For most of the past two weeks, the dollar was sold off heavily as investors bet on a rebound in the global economy. Apart from a slew of stronger than expected economic reports, optimism about the economic outlook was
28 Sept 2009
10. Hong Kong One Year after the Financial Tsunami: Double Dip Recession Cannot be Ruled Out
The global economy is emerging from the deepest recession since the Great Depression and Hong Kong also staged a strong rebound in the second quarter, buffered by government efforts.
16 Sept 2009
11. Global Market Intelligence
Dollar bears came out in full force after a summer lull, during which the greenback traded within narrow ranges. The release of more positive economic indicators from around the world convinced many that the worst of the global recession
14 Sept 2009
12. Hong Kong Economy: Recovering from Recession?
Hong Kong staged a strong rebound in the second quarter, heralding the end of the recession. As the worst seems to be over, we have revised our GDP forecast for 2009 to a contraction 4.0% from a decline of 5.0%.
7 Sept 2009
13. Mainland China – No Tightening For Now
An air of uncertainty has been looming over the investing community on the Mainland since late July. There was widespread speculation that the Mainland government would tighten monetary policy to curb rising asset prices. At one point, there was
3 Sept 2009
14. Global Market Intelligence
In the past several months, the currency market has been reacting mainly to risk trends, with the dollar tending to weaken when strong data were released as these were taken as a signal to buy riskier assets, reducing safe haven demand for the dollar.
31 Aug 2009
15. Global Market Intelligence
Risk trends have been the dominate theme in the foreign exchange market in past months, but there are signs that investors might be reacting to economic fundamentals again.
17 Aug 2009
16. Mainland China's Economic Growth Will Accelerate Further in the Second Half of 2009
Mainland China's real GDP growth rebounded to 7.9% in the second quarter from 6.1% in the first mainly due to strong government-led investment, as exports continued to plunge amid deep global recession.
3 Aug 2009
17. Global Market Intelligence
Risk appetite remained dominating trades in the financial markets. Given that risk tolerance rises, the US dollar and Japanese yen, which used to be treated as safe haven, fell as investors poured their funds to the stock markets and high yielding currencies to get higher returns.
3 Aug 2009
18. Global Market Intelligence
Shifts in risk appetite continued to dominate trading in the financial markets. Risk tolerance rises and the US dollar and Japanese yen tend to fall as investors put their funds to work in stocks and higher yielding currencies to reap higher returns.
20 July 2009
19. Hong Kong Economy: The Road to Zero Inflation
Consumer price inflation dropped to zero in May, but many seem to be more concerned about inflation than deflation. Investors fear that central banks' ultra-loose monetary policy and governments' fiscal stimulus may fuel inflation going forward.
8 July 2009
20. Mainland China's Economic Growth to Accelerate to 8% in the Second Quarter
Mainland China's economy showed more concrete signs of revival in the second quarter of 2009. Despite persistent drop in exports, growth was underpinned by domestic demand on the back of government-led investment spending.
7 July 2009
 
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